Bayesian thermometer

Salekhard (66.53 °N, 66.67 °E) is located in Yamalia at the Northern end of the Ural mountain range. 95% of the daily average temperatures observed at Salekhard weather station since 1882 fall within…

Murphy-Epstein’s Law

Predicting the value of a continuous real variable based on historical observations, covariates etc is a routine problem. It has never been easier to create sophisticated statistical models from data. Sadly however,…