Archive for February, 2010

Ensemble Prediction

Weather is unpredictable. Small differences in initial conditions can develop into big differences in the pattern of circulation, in the timing and location of cyclones, rainfall etc. This is true no matter how good the initial observing system is.
The approach taken by organisations such as ECMWF or NCEP is to re-run numerical forecast models with [...]

February 2, 2010  Tags: ,   Posted in: Uncategorized  No Comments